by Matthew Holloway | Oct 22, 2024 | News
By Matthew Holloway |
Security measures for Arizona voting centers are a prominent concern in 2024 and already hardened locations are being selected as polling places. Some facilities used for years have even declined to do so due to concerns over threats and violence. Maricopa County authorities have stepped up coordination with local, state, and federal agencies to address the concerns.
According to a report from NPR/KPBS, one Phoenix-area site slated for a voting center is equipped with barbed-wire fencing, six-foot tall security gates, and badge-controlled access doors. The building is a school district office, and according to the Superintendent, the security features are the only reason he is comfortable with the facility being used on election day.
The District Superintendent spoke to the outlet on condition of anonymity citing a concern over increased threats. He told NPR that his district has provided as many as 17 polling centers in past elections, but that number has been reduced now to just this one, with the high-security district office being the only option.
The school official told reporters that since the tense days of the 2020 and 2022 elections, “What happened is the rhetoric got stronger, higher, louder, and that’s what brought me to the decision — from a safety perspective — I can’t have those kinds of incidents that are making the front page on my campuses.”
Describing the security measures at the district office he said, “This is one step below Fort Knox.”
During the 2022 election, similar security measures were on display at the Maricopa County Tabulation and Election Center in Phoenix.
The District Superintendent recounted that during past elections, it fell to him to inform voters waiting in line that they could not open-carry firearms or demonstrate within the 75-foot weapons and electioneering limit. But rather than stop providing election locations altogether, he’s opted to provide just one that is highly secured. “As a large district, I want to be a community contributor that makes a difference in my community,” he told NPR. “Schools are the community.”
According to VoteBeat, as of May 2024, a survey of election administrators by the Brennan Center revealed that 40% of them have taken steps to bolster the physical security of election offices and polling places since the 2020 election. Approximately 38% reported workers experiencing either harassment or abuse and many are investing in “panic buttons” or training workers in de-escalation techniques.
Tammy Patrick, the chief programs officer for the Election Center, a non-profit representing these officials, told the outlet, “Election officials aspire to prepare for every possible election scenario — sadly, the possibility of violence is one of those scenarios that has been part of election contingency plans and protocols for years, if not decades.”
She added, “What is different this year is the preparation for potential, albeit remote, issues to arise at tabulation centers and election offices over the course of the election, with particular consideration for the post-election period and certification.”
Maricopa County Elections spokeswoman Jennifer Liewer told VoteBeat that county officials are working with the Sheriff’s Department as well as state and federal authorities via the County Command Center. “Agencies have been meeting for more than a year to prepare for the 2024 General Election,” she told reporters. She also noted that the county is among those including de-escalation tactics in poll worker training with “protocols on when and who to contact should poll workers feel the security of the facility or those in it might have a safety issue.” .
“It is our hope that voters will peacefully cast their ballots,” Liewer concluded. “Poll workers are prepared to intervene and de-escalate situations, but should the potential for violence occur, law enforcement is prepared to respond.”
Matthew Holloway is a senior reporter for AZ Free News. Follow him on X for his latest stories, or email tips to Matthew@azfreenews.com.
by Daniel Stefanski | Oct 18, 2024 | News
By Daniel Stefanski |
Former President Donald J. Trump appears to be maintaining his edge for Arizona’s eleven critical electoral votes as the November General Election nears.
According to the Battleground Poll Averages from Decision Desk HQ / The Hill, Trump enjoys a razor-thin 1.3% lead in Arizona over his Democrat opponent, Vice President Kamala Harris. And according to the Real Clear Politics poll average, Trump has a 1.1% advantage in the Grand Canyon State over Harris.
Some of the recent polls out of Arizona include the following:
- Trafalgar: Trump +2 over Harris (48-46)
- NYT / Siena: Trump +5 over Harris (51-46)
- Emerson: Trump +2 over Harris (49-47)
In the Emerson survey, immigration is at the top of mind for voters, with 30% of respondents selecting this issue as their top area of concern for the upcoming election. The economy finished second in the poll (24%).
In the NYT / Siena poll, the issues of importance are reversed. The economy received 24% of the share of the vote, and immigration obtained 18%. Trump also improved his standing among individuals who believed he would do a better job handing the issue they thought was most important, besting Harris by eleven percent (a five-point improvement from the previous month’s results).
Early voting is now underway in Arizona as men and women around the state are sending in their absentee ballots or frequenting sites to cast their selections for President and other critical contests before them for consideration. Arizona has been a key battleground state in past elections, with both Republicans and Democrats vying extremely hard for voters’ affections and support for their candidates. Trump won Arizona in 2016, and Biden narrowly took the Electoral College votes in the 2020 election. In both 2016 and 2020, the man who won Arizona won the White House.
Daniel Stefanski is a reporter for AZ Free News. You can send him news tips using this link.
by Daniel Stefanski | Oct 12, 2024 | News
By Daniel Stefanski |
Early voting has officially commenced across the crucial swing state of Arizona.
Arizona political parties are encouraging their voters to cast their ballots as early as possible as the pivotal election in November nears.
The Arizona Democratic Party posted, “ARIZONA: Early voting begins today & your mail-in ballot should arrive soon. We have so much at stake this election – from the presidency to flipping our Republican-controlled state legislature. Make a plan to vote…”
The Republican Party of Arizona stated, “Early Voting starts TODAY! Don’t wait – cast your vote early for President Trump and Republicans up and down the ballot. Check the status of your ballot and find a vote center near you at Arizona.Vote! EVERY. VOTE. COUNTS.”
The AZGOP also shared a video clip from a recent speech from Chair Gina Swoboda, where she encouraged listeners to vote by mail to avoid any potential issues at the polling locations.
Last week, the Arizona Libertarian Party alerted its followers on social media that early voting would soon begin.
Arizona Secretary of State Adrian Fontes also promoted the start of early voting in his state, encouraging interested individuals to visit Arizona.Vote “for all your Arizona election needs.”
In the Republican stronghold of Yavapai County, the Recorder there highlighted the beginning of early voting and shared a website for local voters to find locations and time to cast their ballots over the next month.
Additionally, the Pima County Recorder’s Office posted information about early voting in this southern Arizona jurisdiction, including for the 19 early voting sites under its purview.
Daniel Stefanski is a reporter for AZ Free News. You can send him news tips using this link.
by Matthew Holloway | Sep 25, 2024 | News
By Matthew Holloway |
In a series of posts to ‘X,’ Maricopa County Recorder Stephen Richer reported via his personal account that his office has received the first batches of ballots under the Uniformed and Overseas Citizens Absentee Voting Act (UOCAVA ). According to Richer, “The 2024 General Election is officially underway here in Maricopa County!”
In full he wrote, “We’ve already received back 200 Uniform and Overseas ballots. The 2024 General Election is officially underway here in Maricopa County!”
Richer also reported via X that the Recorder’s Office now has “three remote recording kiosks up and running,” sharing the locations as the Sun City Library, the Southeast Regional Library in Gilbert, and the Georgia T. Lord Library in Goodyear.
He followed up with the Maricopa County Active Voter Registration Totals as of Monday totaling 2.512 million registered voters: 883,494 Republicans, 868,825 Independents, 719,324 Democrats, 19,5226 No Labels Party, 18,715 Libertarians and 2,120 Green Party.
According to a Monday press release from Maricopa County Elections:
- Maricopa County Elections is expecting a total turnout of 2.1 million voters.
- It is expected that half of voters will do so by voting early by mail and the other half will vote early in-person, drop off an early ballot, or cast their ballot in-person on Election Day.
- Approximately 315,000-420,000 voters are expected to visit a Vote Center on Election Day.
- 246 Vote Centers will be opened, and more than 3,000 election workers will be hired to service voters.
On the 2024 ballot, voters will decide 144 elected offices, 45 judges up for retention, and 76 ballot measures of which 13 are statewide propositions.
Jennifer Liewer, Deputy Elections Director for Communications, advised, “With a two-page ballot, containing contests on the front and back of both pages, it is more important than ever for voters to do their research ahead of time. Voters may also want to make a plan to either vote early by receiving a ballot in the mail or vote early in-person at a Vote Center to avoid longer than normal lines on Election Day.”
Since his ouster as Recorder, Richer has touted his recent lengthy interview with TIME in which he repeated his claims that “the 2020 election wasn’t stolen,” calling this view “a documented fact,” despite the hotly disputed status of the claim at the highest levels of the GOP. The outgoing County Recorder was defeated in the Republican Primary by Arizona State Rep. Justin Heap who ran on a platform to “Restore Voter Confidence.”
During a forum presented by the Citizens Clean Elections Commission, previously reported by AZ Free News, Heap made serious accusation against Richer that election rules were not followed and vocally defended Arizonans’ right to be skeptical about election results. He said that legal safeguards weren’t followed and that the signature verification process for mail-in ballots was “inadequate.”
“I do not trust the system as it is currently being operated,” Heap added.
Matthew Holloway is a senior reporter for AZ Free News. Follow him on X for his latest stories, or email tips to Matthew@azfreenews.com.
by Staff Reporter | Sep 17, 2024 | Economy, News
By Staff Reporter |
An exclusive poll for AZ Free News conducted by Data Orbital shows that among likely voters in the November 2024 General Election, President Donald Trump holds a narrow edge on Vice President and Democrat-appointed nominee Kamala Harris. Taken between 9/7/2024 – 9/9/2024, the poll shows Trump leading by a margin of 0.2% with 46.2% of those polled against Harris’ 46%, with a 4.26% margin of error.
Remarkably, the poll shows approximately 7.7% of Arizona voters remain undecided or refused to answer and are theoretically up for grabs in the highly competitive swing-state race.
Speaking with AZ Free News, George Khalaf, President of Data Orbital, explained, “Independent voters are always going to be very close, so they were. It was still neck and neck depending on the survey. The results sort of oscillate in terms of who’s in the lead.”
“That 7.7% undecided number, I would say, is going to be one of two things: 1.) Either individuals that are saying that they are likely to vote but don’t end up voting or 2.) People that really are truly undecided. But I would be shocked if the true undecided number is in the high single digits,” explained Khalaf.
“I would guess that right now, the true percentage of people that are undecided is maybe one or two percent, if that. This is a high-profile race and so most people have made up their minds. But I think a portion of people that are undecided likely will not end up making a decision on November 5th,” Khalaf stated. “And even if they come out and vote, they may just not vote in the presidential election or will write in somebody random.”
When polled on the most important issues facing Arizona, 30.4% of the likely votes said “Economy, Inflation, Cost of living,” 28.7% selected the Border and Immigration, and at a distant third selection, 18.3% said “Abortion/Pro-Choice/Women’s Rights.”
Conversely, Gallup polling from as recently as August found nationally that Immigration dominated as the most important issue at 19% of those polled, followed by the economy overall at 18%, poor government/leadership at 16%, and High Cost of Living/Inflation at 15%. Abortion barely moved the needle at just 4%.
Given that the poll’s results pre-date the Tuesday Sep. 10th Presidential Debate, they do not represent potential changes in perception that followed. However, Rasmussen Reports has offered a more comprehensive dataset with polling through Sep. 12th posted to X on Friday showing Trump ahead by six points, with another six percent undecided.
Pollster Nate Silver has consistently shown Trump to be favored to win the election both before and after the debate with Trump’s electoral college probability, which ignores the popular vote unlike general polling, at 61% based on the outcome of 40,000 election model simulations.
Nate Silver’s latest result is an increase from the 60.6% probability on Sep. 12th and is only a slight dip from the high point on Sep. 8th at 63.8%.
As of this report, Polymarket projection has President Donald Trump favored to win Arizona 61-40% and has Harris leading nationally by just one point. The projection has been fluctuating between the candidates by 1-3 points on a daily basis, with Trump leading by two points as recently as Sep. 11th and tied at 49% on the tenth.
As far as potential shifts in public opinion before the election, Khalaf told AZ Free News, “I don’t think we’re likely to see a large shift. I just think that obviously we all know the limitations of public opinion polling. There is a margin of error. And so I think the race is going to stay consistently in that range, which means that on election day, that’s why people are still saying it’s a toss -up, even though, again, I would say I would give Arizona a lean towards former President Trump, but I don’t expect a big shift. I don’t think that there’s much that could occur.”
Addressing the Sunday attempt on President Donald Trump’s life, he added, “I mean, look, we saw another assassination attempt, or at least that’s what they’re saying right now. They’re investigating an attempted assassination, and even then we’re not even hearing about it nearly as much as the first attempt. And so all that’s to say, there’s just so much information out there. There’s so much information that people are consuming. I’d be shocked if there was a major shift. I think all of the swing states: Arizona is no different.”
AZ Free News is your #1 source for Arizona news and politics. You can send us news tips using this link.
