Home builders are warning that Gov. Katie Hobbs’ moratorium on home building will hurt the state’s economy severely.
The Home Builders Association of Central Arizona (HBACA) cited a recent study by Elliott Pollack, a Scottsdale-based real estate and economic consulting firm.
“From an economic perspective, the sudden and drastic measures announcing no new certifications of assured water supply from groundwater created uncertainty and risk, an effective deterrent to potential investors in our state’s economy,” read the study. “The prevailing sentiment that Arizona is out of water is now a significant hurdle that requires educating all future potential investment in our State.”
The study projected that the governor’s moratorium on new builds, imposed last June by ceasing certifications of assured water supply, could cost the Phoenix area over 26,000 jobs over the next decade. That, along with a projection that the moratorium would exacerbate the state’s affordable housing crisis.
Hobbs issued the moratorium in response to an Arizona Department of Water Resources (ADWR) report projecting a 100-year deficit of four percent in groundwater for the greater Phoenix area.
I unveiled the latest study of groundwater conditions across the Phoenix metropolitan area. Families and businesses from around the world come to Arizona in part because we are serious about water management, and that we are the leader in safeguarding groundwater supplies. ⬇️1/4
— Governor Katie Hobbs (@GovernorHobbs) June 1, 2023
Assured water supply requires demonstration that developers have a plan to use groundwater in compliance with water management rules set by the ADWR and facilitated by the Central Arizona Groundwater Replenishment District (CAGRD).
After ADWR allowed CAGRD membership to meet the renewable water management obligations in 1995, an estimated 460,000 homes were built, bringing in over 1.2 million residents. CAGRD’s existence ensured that water providers and landowners wouldn’t be on the hook for assuring the 100-year renewable water supply up front.
After the ADWR rule change concerning CAGRD, Elliott Pollack reported that the state brought in $50.4 billion in wages and $135.7 billion in economic impact. CAGRD region residents also spent over $180 billion in the local economy, and contributed over $35 billion in tax revenues.
According to a long-term forecast by the Maricopa Association of Governments (MAG), one out of seven newly built homes would be in Buckeye by 2030, with an estimated 14 percent of new builds cropping up in the city through 2060. That’s up to 3,700 new builds annually on average. However, Elliott Pollack said that this long-term forecast wouldn’t come to fruition under Hobbs’ moratorium — meaning, the expectation of the economy-boosting annual influx of around 10,000 new residents wouldn’t occur.
The study further projected the moratorium could cause mass out-of-state migration by escalating home prices in formerly affordable housing regions, with the supply of homes under $400,000 dwindling or ceasing to exist altogether. The median home price in Arizona sits at around $434,000.
Mortgage rates would demand a minimal income of about $100,000 to afford a $400,000 home. Census data estimated that around 40 percent of the greater Phoenix area’s population made $100,000 or more as of 2022, and further estimated median household income to be about $72,000.
That means about 60 percent of the area wouldn’t be able to afford a home in the area.
The study also found that most out-of-state migration from Arizona was to cities with more affordable homes. Out of nearly 30 cities analyzed, 25 had median home prices more affordable than Arizona’s.
Corinne Murdock is a reporter for AZ Free News. Follow her latest on Twitter, or email tips to corinne@azfreenews.com.
State Sen. Eva Burch (D-LD09) called her GOP colleagues “cruel” for restricting her ability to abort her child.
Burch made the remarks in a speech on the Senate floor on Monday. The senator said that she learned that her pregnancy was not progressing — nonviable — and that she had opted for abortion rather than wait on a miscarriage.
“I’m choosing abortion because I’m pregnant and for reasons that I should not have to explain to you, or to the church, or to the state of Arizona. I need to not be pregnant anymore. That’s the best outcome for me,” said Burch.
Burch said she was unable to receive an abortion from an abortion clinic last Friday as quickly as she desired due to state law requiring an ultrasound, informed consent, and a 24-hour waiting period.
“I don’t think people should have to justify their abortions,” said Burch. “There’s no one-size-fits-all for people seeking abortion care, and the legislature doesn’t have any right to assign one.”
Arizona law requires an abortionist to obtain the “voluntary and informed consent” of a mother based on the diagnosed condition of her unborn children.
A mother given a lethal fetal diagnosis must be advised of perinatal hospice services as an alternative to abortion. A lethal fetal condition is defined as a pre-birth diagnosis expected to result in the death of the unborn child within three months after birth.
A mother given a nonlethal fetal diagnosis must be advised of the range of outcomes for individuals living with the diagnosed condition; government and nongovernmental resources for mitigating the condition; and options for adoption.
Burch claimed that the informed consent requirement was a means to “shame, coerce, and frighten” her.
The senator also relayed her experience with a previous pregnancy that ended in a miscarriage. Burch claimed that she was unable to obtain treatment to remove her deceased embryo because her condition wasn’t deemed “critical enough.” Per state law, abortion doesn’t include the termination of an ectopic pregnancy or removal of a dead fetus. This is a definition supported and reiterated by Attorney General Kris Mayes.
“[I]f you have a miscarriage and the doctor performs a surgical procedure to remove the deceased fetus, that is not an abortion,” states a webpage on abortion by Mayes.
Failure to remove a dead fetus from the uterus in a timely manner can cause deadly complications, such as disseminated intravascular coagulation. Denial of such lifesaving care would be considered medical malpractice.
Even so, Burch claimed lawmakers were to blame for her physical and emotional duress.
“The clauses for emergencies aren’t good enough. These laws can serve to intimidate doctors and it muddies the waters when they’re trying to make complex decisions in situations that are really volatile,” said Burch.
Arizona prohibits abortion after 15 weeks of pregnancy, and outright bans abortions sought for reasons of fetal genetic abnormality, race, or sex.
Burch said it was “inappropriate” for women seeking an abortion to have to undergo the transvaginal ultrasound.
Burch didn’t go into the details of her unborn child’s nonviability. Though uncommon, misdiagnosis of nonviability early on in pregnancy does occur for various reasons, such as an inaccurate conception date causing an inability to detect a fetal heartbeat. These misdiagnoses are usually caught with a followup ultrasound.
Burch also claimed that abortion carries a lower risk than pregnancy. The senator also cited datasets determining that women who can’t receive an abortion were more likely to be domestic violence victims, facing eviction and bankruptcy, bearing children with developmental delays, and poor.
Corinne Murdock is a reporter for AZ Free News. Follow her latest on Twitter, or email tips to corinne@azfreenews.com.
A coalition of Arizona State University (ASU) students, Students Against Apartheid at ASU (SAGA), plan to protest the suspension of a pro-Palestine student group, MECHA de ASU.
The planned protest to reinstate MECHA de ASU is scheduled to occur on Thursday at 11:30 am on the student services building lawn. ASU suspended the group for a since-deleted Instagram post calling for the death of certain groups in February. The university’s Student Rights and Responsibilities Office and police force are investigating the incident.
“Mecha believes in revolution. Not reform. We do not condemn the Al Aqsa flood. We do not condemn Hamas. We do not condemn resistance. Death to boer. Death to the Pilgrim. Death to the zionist. Death to the settler. Glory to the Martyrs! Freedom to the prisoners! Victory to the resistance!”
The campus left keeps sharing its violent fantasies.
Arizona State University has suspended its student chapter of MEChA, the national Latino organization, for the following Instagram message: pic.twitter.com/ACprNXmVGN
“Al-Aqsa Flood” was the formal operation name for the Hamas terrorist attack on Israel last October. “Death to boer” is a reference to a traditional chant calling for the genocide of white South African farmers, famously sang last fall by Africa’s Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) at a political rally. Based on the inclusion of the “boer” reference, then, “death to the Pilgrim” could be referring to those who make their pilgrimage to Israel to worship, or it could be referring to America’s first English settlers.
In a press release issued on Sunday, SAGA said that MECHA de ASU’s post was mainly about comparing police brutality in Arizona to the violence of the Israel-Hamas conflict.
SAGA also took issue with the amount of time ASU has taken to conduct its investigation into the incident, specifically its delay in responding to MECHA de ASU’s appeal of their suspension. ASU reportedly promised to respond within five business days of the appeal, but had yet to do so as of SAGA’s press release.
“The university is using this fraudulent investigation process to silence and surveil MECHA for protesting an ongoing genocide ASU is complicit in,” said SAGA.
SAGA has the explicit goal of stopping “ASU’s investment in the settler colonial state known as ‘Israel’.” In a more recent statement, the coalition accused ASU of being complicit in “the zionist occupation and genocide of Palestinians.” SAGA demanded that the university cease all partnerships and investments with companies and institutions supportive of Israel, as well as cease its investigation and suspension of MECHA de ASU.
Masks will be required for Thursday’s protest, as a means to prevent the transmission of COVID-19 and other communicable airborne diseases.
In addition to advocating for MECHA de ASU’s return, SAGA has been coordinating in a boycott of Starbucks for its support of Israel. Like with Thursday’s protest, SAGA meetings and events have required masking.
Skoden served coffee on my campus as part of a Starbucks boycott event w Students Against Apartheid. I've had their coffee, it's really good and definitely worth the visit. https://t.co/O6KSdGwyse
Arizona Democratic congressional candidate Kirsten Engel implied that Trump’s recent use of the common “bloodbath” metaphor was a call to violence.
The congressional candidate didn’t come to the conclusion on her own. Engel played off viral claims made in the media by the Biden-Harris campaign and top Democrats. She used the media storm on the former president as an opportunity to condemn her opponent, incumbent Juan Ciscomani (R-AZ-06), for not rebuking Trump’s rhetoric. Ciscomani endorsed Trump earlier this month.
“Just one week after my opponent endorsed him, President Trump warns of a ‘bloodbath’ if he’s not elected in Nov,” said Engel. “Predictably my opponent remains silent. Time and again he’s demonstrated an unwillingness to stand up to extremism. #AZ06 deserves better.”
Just one week after my opponent endorsed him, President Trump warns of a "bloodbath" if he's not elected in Nov. Predictably my opponent remains silent. Time and again he's demonstrated an unwillingness to stand up to extremism. #AZ06 deserves better. https://t.co/0TJaFiA7FL
Democrats and legacy media claimed that Trump mentioned a “bloodbath” in a political rally Saturday night as a promise of violence should he lose the election, many comparing the rhetoric to the 2021 Capitol breach. However, the former president was warning that his loss in the upcoming presidential race would result in a “bloodbath” for the country’s auto industry, as well as the entire economy.
“Those big monster car manufacturing plants that you’re building in Mexico right now, and you think you’re gonna get that, you’re gonna not hire Americans and you’re gonna sell the cars to us. No, we’re going to put a 100 percent tariff on every single car that comes across the line. And you’re not gonna be able to sell those cars; if I get elected. Now, if I don’t get elected, it’s gonna be a bloodbath for the whole – that’s gonna be the least of it, it’s gonna be a bloodbath for the country. That’ll be the least of it. But they’re not going to sell those cars; they’re building massive factories.”
The “bloodbath” metaphor is a popular one employed often by politicians, and even the same outlets that have now criticized Trump for its usage.
The Biden-Harris campaign also accused Trump of eliciting violence. James Singer, the campaign’s spokesman, passed on a statement to numerous outlets from a press release claiming that Trump was trying to start another January 6 incident.
“This is who Donald Trump is: a loser who gets beat by over 7 million votes and then instead of appealing to a wider mainstream audience doubles down on his threats of political violence,” said Singer. “He wants another January 6, but the American people are going to give him another electoral defeat this November because they continue to reject his extremism, his affection for violence, and his thirst for revenge.”
Biden-Harris campaign statement on Trump tonight promising a “bloodbath” if he loses pic.twitter.com/8mBYh4QKnf
The campaign’s communications director, Michael Tyler, also put out the accusation in an interview with former White House spokeswoman Jen Psaki.
Biden-Harris Communications Director Michael Tyler: Trump is promising a ‘bloodbath’ if he loses. The same guy who said there were ‘very fine people’ in Charlottesville, told the Proud Boys to stand back and stand by, and champions insurrectionists. This is who Trump is pic.twitter.com/RKvG1BEOdT
Democratic presidential candidate Jason Palmer, surprise winner of the American Samoa Democratic caucus, received the endorsement of three of his opponents ahead of Arizona’s primary election on Tuesday.
Democratic presidential candidates Gabriel Cornejo of Nevada, Frankie Lozada of New York, and Stephen Lyons of Maryland endorsed Palmer. The four men debated last month with Free & Equal Elections.
President Joe Biden’s loss of the territory marked the first time an incumbent president lost a nominating contest since 1980. Biden also lost the territory his first time around in 2020 against former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg.
In a response to his win, Palmer assessed that Americans desire younger leadership, and that Biden’s 50 years in government weighed too heavily on voters.
This win happened for a reason. Americans are tired of our government's reluctance to usher in younger leadership. I have immense gratitude for Biden's 50 years of service, but it's time for him to pass the torch. Read more at https://t.co/15WfNwICzf#JasonPalmer#Democrathttps://t.co/Er7EJ1vYkX
The Marylander credited his use of AI for his victory with the American Samoa caucus in an interview with The Wall Street Journal. Palmer used an interactive AI that answered voters with Palmer’s policy and experience through text and email. Palmer also launched an AI chat avatar, “PalmerAI,” that responds in his voice and mimics his movements when answering questions on his policy stances in real time. The presidential candidate says the AI avatar cost about $25,000 to implement.
Palmer also rolled out a plan to solve the border crisis on Monday. His plan calls for a pathway to citizenship for Dreamers and extension of DACA; a modernization of the border using digital technologies such as rocket dockets to expedite processing; reforming asylum processing and eliminating parole; implementing merit-based pathways to green cards and citizenship, implementing a points system; ending catch and release of illegal immigrants; adding over 1,000 more immigration judges to address the backlog of asylum cases; creating a guest worker program for migrants not eligible for asylum but have willing American sponsors; prioritizing global talent acquisition to improve the workforce; and eliminating caps placed on immigration from certain countries.
“Less than 10 percent of illegal border crossers are legitimate asylees,” read Palmer’s plan. “The other 90 percent should be efficiently processed to determine if they are eligible for guest worker visas, but the majority should immediately be returned to their home country or third countries where the United States establishes special asylum partnerships.”
Palmer has previously held executive roles with Microsoft, Kaplan Education, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, and New Markets Venture Partners.
Palmer’s announcement ahead of the Tuesday primary occurred alongside another development: the White House announced that President Joe Biden would arrive in Phoenix late Tuesday, where he’s scheduled to make remarks on his Investing in America agenda.
Though Palmer is vying to unseat Biden, it doesn’t appear that Palmer entirely dislikes Biden’s leadership.
Congratulations @JoeBiden on a solid State of the Union
I supported Joe Biden’s election four years ago and agree with Joe on the right to choose, Trump’s an existential threat, so many issues
Civility means congratulating your competitors when they do a good job https://t.co/qOgqE6phmR
