With Arizona’s legislative session scheduled to close this week, small business owners are still left in a lurch over a lack of tax conformity.
Twice this year Gov. Katie Hobbs has vetoed legislation that would have provided full conformity in the tax code with the One Big Beautiful Bill Act passed last summer. The governor maintains that the best path forward would not be full conformity, but rather partial.
Gov. Hobbs wanted the Republican-led legislature to get on board with the Democratic minority’s Middle Class Tax Cuts Package.
The Arizona Free Enterprise Club, a free market policy organization, said Hobbs’ preferred conformity package would require Arizonans to file taxes twice and increase taxes by $200 million.
File your taxes twice. Pay more. Welcome to Katie Hobbs’ Arizona.
After vetoing two full conformity bills, Hobbs helped turn what should have been a routine tax update into a full-blown mess in the middle of filing season. Her administration issued forms based on full… pic.twitter.com/eS5n6tiWfm
That threat of double-filing, per Senate President Warren Petersen (R-LD14), has been mitigated because the tax forms sent out by the state aligned with what the Republicans brought to the table (and Hobbs rejected).
Prior to the first veto, the Arizona Department of Revenue issued its advice on filing under the new changes to federal tax law.
Republican leadership in the legislature urged Arizonans to file their taxes, promising to not support any conformity package that would effectively “punish Arizona taxpayers” and require refiling.
“For tax year 2025 we will not support anything that forces Arizonans to refile,” said Petersen.
“Any outcome that requires you to amend your return or pay more is a nonstarter,” said House Speaker Steve Montenegro (R-LD29).
Gov. Hobbs justified her vetoes under the claim that Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill would require poorer Arizonans to shoulder more of the tax burden.
“We should not hold tax cuts for over 88 percent of Arizonans hostage in order to force through tax breaks for special interests,” said Hobbs. “Other questions of tax conformity must be decided through budget negotiations, following the precedent set by Governor Ducey.”
Sen. Petersen rejected Hobbs’ view of the federal tax changes.
Petersen dismissed Hobbs’ claim as “a nice talking point” that ignored what he says is the reality of how the federal legislation impacts an overwhelming majority of the state’s business transactions.
“That’s just not true,” said Petersen. “We’re talking about tax on tips, we’re talking about tax on car interest loans, we’re talking about no overtime. These are not rich people. These are small business owners. 90 percent of business transactions are small business owners.”
“It’s a nice talking point, but it’s really not true.”
Arizona Senate President Warren Petersen joined @AZMorningNews to push back on Gov. Katie Hobbs after she vetoed Arizona tax conformity and tax-cut bills tied to federal changes.
Chad Heinrich, Arizona director of the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB), toldThe Phoenix Business Journal that the lack of conformity will cause increased taxes on over 700,000 small businesses in Arizona. Heinrich blamed Hobbs.
“Not conforming with the key business provisions is, in practical effect, a tax increase on the Arizonans who can least absorb it — those who own and operate Arizona’s small businesses,” said Heinrich. “The Legislature has done its part. Governor Hobbs should finish the job, now, before one more small business owner has to guess about their future.”
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January’s jobs report smashed expectations and signals a turning point in the labor market where job creation catches up with broader economic conditions. The report shows 130,000 jobs created, the unemployment rate falling to 4.3%, and labor force participation rising.
Economic growth last quarter was above 4% and is projected to be 4% again this quarter. The Dow Jones recently reached 50,000, as I predicted last fall. And gas prices and inflation are low.
Now workers are starting to feel the benefit in terms of associated job creation and wage growth. The jobs report shows workers’ real wages continuing to significantly rise, a stark contrast to their declines during the Biden administration.
An added bonus: Parasitical federal government jobs continue to decline, falling 34,000 last month and more than 10% since Donald Trump took office. Government jobs too often padded previous employment reports when the relevant metric should be productive private-sector job creation.
Strong labor-market, economic, and financial-market growth doesn’t happen in a vacuum. It’s the result of good public policy that empowers Main Street over big government.
Exhibit A is last year’s Republican tax cuts. These tax cuts prevented the largest middle-class tax hike in history from occurring. They empowered small businesses by restoring and making permanent 100% immediate expensing and locking in a 20% deduction on earnings. These tax cuts are game changers for job creators, incentivizing them to expand, hire, and raise wages.
Despite delivering one of the most consequential tax cuts in modern American history, however, Republicans are somehow trailing Democrats on the issue of taxes, according to new Fox News polling. Even though every single Democrat voted against them.
This isn’t just backwards. It’s political malpractice fueled by a media ecosystem that has abandoned facts in favor of Democratic talking points. Voters have been told again and again — by headlines, by cable news panels, by progressive activists masquerading as journalists — that Republicans are the party of “tax breaks for billionaires.”
In reality, these are middle-class tax cuts that actually make the tax code more progressive.
A stronger economy, rising 401(k) balances, and higher living standards will help blunt the impact of this misinformation and convert some independents. But small businesses and conservatives have a responsibility to spread the word to right this polling wrong.
Every small business with a tax-savings story needs to speak up in their communities, with their employees, and on their social media, explaining how these tax cuts have helped them survive and thrive. That’s the least they can do in return for these tax savings.
Meanwhile, conservatives need to start singing from the same page on these uniting economic issues. A strong opportunity, affordability, and standard-of-living message, combined with a focus on deporting violent criminals and sanity on culture issues, is the winning approach Republicans need to boost their polling and hold onto Congress this fall.
The first step is connecting the dots between small-business tax cuts, job creation, and affordability.
Alfredo Ortiz is a contributor to The Daily Caller News Foundation, CEO of Job Creators Network, author of “The Real Race Revolutionaries,” and co-host of the Main Street Matters podcast.
The struggle to fill job openings continues for mom-and-pop enterprises and other small businesses across the country, according to a report issued Thursday by the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB).
“The labor shortage remains a challenging problem for small business owners,” NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg said of the group’s Jobs Report for October. “Because of staffing shortages, small business owners are less able to take full advantage of current sales opportunities and continue to make business adjustments to compensate,”
The Jobs Report is a monthly, national snapshot of the small-business-owning membership of NFIB in 9 industries — agriculture, construction, finance, manufacturing, professional, retail, services, transportation, and wholesale.
The October 2022 report released Nov. 3 shows that:
23 percent of owners report labor quality as their top business problem, second only to inflation;
61 percent of owners reported hiring—or trying to hire—in October;
Of those hiring or trying to hire, 90 percent of owners reported few or no qualified applicants for the open positions;
40 percent of owners have openings for skilled workers while 22 percent are seeking unskilled labor;
Transportation (68 percent) and Construction (63 percent) had the most difficulty in October filling job openings.
There are several programs available to Arizona small businesses to assist with hiring issues. One is the Arizona Small Business Development Center Network funded in part by the U.S. Small Business Administration. There are 10 SBDC Centers in Arizona served through the local community college districts.
Another is Arizona@Work sponsored by the Arizona Commerce Authority and Arizona Department of Economic Security.