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U.S. Inflation Eases To 2.39% Year-Over-Year In January 2026

February 18, 2026

By Ethan Faverino |

The Joint Economic Committee released its Monthly Inflation Update for January 2026 last week, highlighting a modest cooling in consumer price pressures as headline inflation declined below expectations.

According to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 2.39% year-over-year in January, down from 2.68% in December 2025. This marks a continued easing trend and comes in slightly below Cleveland Federal Reserve’s forecast of 2.36%.

Core CPI-U, which excludes volatile food and energy components, increased 2.50% over the same period, compared to 2.64% the prior month. Month-over-month, headline CPI-U advanced 0.17% from December to January, while core CPI-U rose 0.30%.

Key drivers included a sharp decline in energy prices, which fell -1.47% month-over-month and -0.14% year-over-year, a drop of 2.44 percentage points from December’s year-over-year figure. Food prices, meanwhile, increased 0.19% monthly and 2.88% annually, up 0.38 percentage points from the previous year.

Inflation continued to ease across all regions in January 2026, though rates varied geographically. The Northeast posted the highest inflation at 2.8%, followed by the West at 2.7% and the Midwest at 2.4%, while the South recorded the lowest rate at 1.9%. Each region experienced a decline from December levels.

The report also highlighted positive developments in workers’ purchasing power. Real average weekly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls rose 0.53% from December to January and climbed 1.88% year-over-year. Real average hourly earnings increased 0.26% monthly and 1.25% annually. For production and nonsupervisory employees, real weekly earnings grew even more robustly at 2.16% year-over-year.

These gains reflect wages outpacing inflation, providing American workers with improved real income amid moderating price pressures.

Ethan Faverino is a reporter for AZ Free News. You can send him news tips using this link.

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