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Poll Finds Arizona Voters Have Low Confidence In Their Elected Leaders

September 18, 2025

By Staff Reporter |

Arizona voters have low confidence in their elected leaders at both the state and national levels, according to a new poll.

The poll from Noble Predictive Insights, conducted in August, surveyed over 900 voters across the state. 

Democrats have the least confidence in the state (56 percent), followed closely by independents (55 percent), and then Republicans (52 percent). 

The poll also asked Arizonans if they thought the state is better off now than it was four years ago with the COVID-19 pandemic, wildfires, and the Maricopa County ballot audit. 

Most of the respondents said they preferred the state of the state and nation four years ago compared to the present. Mike Noble, founder and CEO of Noble Predictive Insights, said in a press release these latest polling results indicate that Arizonans don’t believe the government they elected is delivering on its promises. 

“Arizonans are signaling that they want to see tangible progress – whether it’s cost of living, housing, water, or the ability of leaders to work past gridlock, voters are looking for reasons to feel the state and the country are on a better path. Right now, they just don’t see it,” said Noble. 

50 percent of Democrats expressed a preference for the 2020 state of Arizona to now, followed by 40 percent of independents, and 37 percent of Republicans. 

The results didn’t vary too much across generational demographics. About one-quarter of voters across age groups expressed satisfaction with the present state of Arizona, and 40 percent across generational groups expressed dissatisfaction with the present. 

When asked about the state of the nation four years ago compared to now, 74 percent of Democrats said the country is worse now, followed by 54 percent of independents, and 24 percent of Republicans. 

The majority of Republican subgroups among respondents expressed greater satisfaction with the present state of the nation compared to four years ago. 

Younger respondents (aged 18 to 29) had the most pessimism about the trajectory of the country. 23 percent of young voters expressed greater satisfaction with the country presently compared to four years ago. 53 percent of young voters expressed much less satisfaction. 

Those above the age of 65 had less of a divide. 42 percent said the country is better off now than it was four years ago, and 50 percent said the country is worse off. 

The top five concerns for respondents were, in order: affordable housing (38 percent Republican, 41 percent Democrat, 54 percent independent); inflation (48 percent Republican, 45 percent Democrat, 38 percent independent); immigration (62 percent Republican, 29 percent Democrat, and 39 percent independent); health care (34 percent Republican, 41 percent Democrat, and 40 percent independent); and education (23 percent Republican, 27 percent Democrat, and 23 percent independent). 

Those outside the top five, in order, were: taxes, unemployment rate, climate change, gun policies, abortion, income gap, national defense, something else not listed, and LGBT rights. 

Rankings for those categories were established by summarizing the totals from the responses of the three voter groups. 

Overall, respondents expressed the opinion that immigration was overrepresented in political discourse and elected officials’ focus.

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