By Staff Reporter |
A poll of voters conducted late last month revealed that the Democratic primary for Arizona’s District One congressional race remains highly competitive.
Leading candidates Andrei Cherny and Amish Shah reflected 16 percent support, with Marlene Galan-Woods trailing slightly at 14 percent, then Connor O’Callaghan at 11 percent.
Those numbers were low because a majority remained undecided on their preferred candidate.
The poll, conducted by Noble Predictive Insights (NPI), found that 35 percent of the over 400 Democratic voters didn’t know if they were going to support Cherny, Shah, Galan-Woods, or O’Callaghan.
NPI Chief of Research David Byler opined in a press release with the poll results that the lack of voter enthusiasm for any one candidate was due to the race being “a mess” and none of the Democratic primary candidates being well known.
“On the Democratic side of the aisle, there’s no single issue that focuses and divides up primaries,” said Byler. “Many Democrats haven’t tuned in, and those who have are split and unsure.”
Certain candidates turned out higher likeability scores among undecided Democratic voters. Cherny had a net favorability rating of 43 points, followed by Galan-Woods at 41 points and then Shah at 34 points.
Cherny was endorsed by former President Bill Clinton; congressmen Adam Smith (Washington), Brad Schneider (Illinois), Mike Levin (California), Seth Moulton (Massachusetts), and Wiley Nickel (North Carolina), Senate Democratic leader Mitzi Epstein; former State Representatives Debbie McCune Davis and Kelli Butler; mayors Ginny Dickey (Fountain Hills), Kate Gallego (Phoenix), Jerry Bien-Wilner (Paradise Valley); former Congressman Harry Mitchell; Central Arizona Project and Arizona’s List board member Heather Macre; Maricopa County Supervisor Steve Gallardo; former Vice Mayor of Tempe Lauren Kuby; former Attorney General Terry Goddard; AFSCME; Brady PAC; Foreign Policy for America; League of Conservation Voters; Moms Demand Action; New Politics; Serve America; Taking the Hill PAC; and VoteVets.
Shah’s endorsements are mainly Democratic lawmakers: House Minority Leader Andrés Cano, House Minority Leader Lupe Contreras; House Assistant Minority Leader Oscar De Los Santos; House Whip Nancy Gutierrez; and Representatives Analise Ortiz, Stacy Travers, Stephanie Stahl-Hamilton, Cesar Aguilar, Christopher Mathis, Keith Seaman, Patty Contreras, Myron Tsosie, Seth Blattman, Mae Peshlakai, Deborah Nardozzi, Charles Lucking, and Senators Eva Burch and Flavio Bravo. His other endorsements include Councilman Kevin Robinson, former Representative Lorenzo Sierra, César Chávez, and Aaron Lieberman; and former senators Robert Miza and Sean Bowie.
Galan-Woods has a diverse array of endorsements among Democratic leaders. Among them are Congressman Raúl Grijalva; attorney general Kris Mayes; State Representative Laura Terech; former Arizona Governor and Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano, former Senator Dennis DeConcini; former Congressman Ron Barber and Congresswoman Ann Kirkpatrick; former State Representative Marcelino Quiñonez; former Mayor of Tempe, Neil Giuliano; former Arizona Democratic Party Chair Felecia Rotellini; and 2014 Democratic nominee for Arizona governor and Deputy Chief of Protocol for former President Bill Clinton, Fred Duval.
Galan-Woods’ list of endorsements from organizations also has diversity: Emily’s List, Bold Democrats, Elect Democratic Women, Moms Fed Up, Latino Victory Fund, Moms Demand Action, American Federation of Labor and Congress of Industrial Organizations (AFL-CIO), International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 104, Ironworkers Local 75, American Federation of Government Employees, United Food and Commercial Workers, National Education Association, Arizona Education Association, Professional Firefighters of Arizona, International Association of Fire Fighters, Western States Regional Council of Carpenters, and Communications Workers of America.
O’Callaghan’s endorsements generally cover a more national scope, with some more local Arizona endorsements. Those Arizona endorsements include State Representative Mariana Sandoval; elected Central Arizona Water Conservation District board members Ylenia Aguilar and Ben Graff; pro-tem Justice of the Peace in Maricopa County Ayensa Millan; Scottsdale Unified School District board member Julie Cieniawski; Phoenix Elementary Governing Board member Regional Carrillo; Paradise Valley Unified School District Governing Board member Kerry Baker; former Scottsdale Education Association President Eric Kurland; former Nogales Mayor Marco Lopez; former Maricopa County Democratic Party Chair Steven Slugocki; activists Tony Moya, Shea Najafi, and Mark Ashley; former Turning Arizona Blue host Ron Williams; former congressional candidate Bernadette Greene-Placentia.
O’Callaghan’s endorsements outside Arizona list among them several A-list celebrities: Kate Walsh, Lesley-Ann Brandt, Laura Benanti, Beth Dover, and Cissy Jones. Other endorsements were Congressmen Dan Goldman (New York), Brendan Boyle (Pennsylvania), Val Hoyle (Oregon); former New York Congressman Max Rose; political scientist and author Rachel Bitecofer; former senior advisor to former President Bill Clinton, Justin Cooper; Obama 2012 State Director Miguel Medrano; former Bernie Sanders Deputy Director Roy Tatem Jr.; TNT reporter and host Allie LaForce.
O’Callaghan also had a number of organization recognitions: BlueAmerica, Common Defense, Patriotic Millionaires, Stonewall Democrats of Arizona, Penjamo Yaqui Pueblo, Power PAC Plus, Down with Tyranny, Vote Common Good, American Promise, and Moms Demand Action.
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