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Small Business Optimism Fades Despite Biden Admin Boasting Of ‘Record-Breaking Economy’

October 15, 2023

By Daniel Stefanski |

The current state of the American economy continues to trouble small business owners.

This week, the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) released its latest Small Business Optimism Index, showing a drop of a half point during the month of September. The index now stands at 90.8, and it has not risen above the average mark of 98 for 21 consecutive months.

NFIB Arizona State Director Chad Heinrich commented on the latest issuance of the index, saying, “It’s clear that small business owners remain deeply concerned about the economy. The pressure of inflation and the labor shortage are continuing to take a toll on our job creators, with little relief in sight.”

Bill Dunkelberg, NFIB’s Chief Economist, also weighed in on the recent numbers from his organization, writing, “Owners remain pessimistic about future business conditions, which has contributed to the low optimism they have regarding the economy. Sales growth among small businesses have slowed and the bottom line is being squeezed, leaving owners few options beyond raising selling prices for financial relief.”

The announcement from the Arizona arm of the influential business group stated that “twenty-three percent of owners reported that inflation was their single most important problem in operating their business, unchanged from last month and tied with labor quality as the top concern.”

NFIB highlighted some of the areas of emphasis from their index, including:

  • Small business owners expecting better business conditions over the next six months deteriorated six points from August to a net negative 43% seasonally adjusted, however, 18 percentage points better than last June’s reading of net negative 61% and definitely at recession levels. 
  • Forty-three percent (seasonally adjusted) of owners reported job openings that were hard to fill, up three points from August and remaining historically high as owners can’t hire enough workers due to few qualified applicants.
  • Seasonally adjusted, a net 23% plan to raise compensation in the next three months, down three points from August.
  • The net percent of owners raising average selling prices increased two points to a net 29% seasonally adjusted, still a very inflationary level.
  • The net percent of owners who expect real sales to be higher increased one point from August to a net negative 13% (seasonally adjusted), still a very dismal posture.

Just last week, the Biden Administration boasted of a “record-breaking economy,” noting the increase of jobs, an unemployment rate below 4%, a low unemployment rate for women, and low unemployment for African Americans, Hispanic Americans, and Americans with disabilities.

Others see the economy in an entirely different light. Alfredo Ortiz, the president and CEO of Job Creators Network, recently said, “This accelerating inflation, which is nearly twice the Federal Reserve’s target rate, is another Bidenomics blow to ordinary Americans and small businesses dealing with rapidly rising prices that are lowering their real wages and living standards for two and a half years.”

Daniel Stefanski is a reporter for AZ Free News. You can send him news tips using this link.

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